{"id":7048,"date":"2009-03-30T08:02:53","date_gmt":"2009-03-30T05:02:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/?p=7048"},"modified":"2009-03-30T08:02:53","modified_gmt":"2009-03-30T05:02:53","slug":"secmen-%e2%80%98one-minute%e2%80%99-mu-dedi-akp%e2%80%99nin-kopugu-mu-eridi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/?p=7048","title":{"rendered":"Se\u00e7men \u2018one minute\u2019 m\u00fc dedi AKP\u2019nin k\u00f6p\u00fc\u011f\u00fc m\u00fc eridi?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Se\u00e7men<\/p>\n

2007 genel se\u00e7imlerinde y\u00fczde 47 oy alan AKP, d\u00fcnk\u00fc se\u00e7imde y\u00fczde 38’lere geriledi. AKP’nin kaybetti\u011fi yerlerde bile 30’larda olmas\u0131 ‘Tek T\u00fcrkiye partisi’ oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi<\/strong><\/p>\n

Gazetemiz bask\u0131ya girerken se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 hen\u00fcz kesinle\u015fmemi\u015f, hatta CHP’nin \u00f6nde oldu\u011fu \u0130stanbul, Ankara ve Antalya’da “oy say\u0131m\u0131” konusunda b\u00fcy\u00fck tart\u0131\u015fmalar ya\u015fanmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Sonu\u00e7lar kesinle\u015fmese de, sand\u0131ktan \u00e7\u0131kan mesaj netle\u015fmi\u015fti: Sand\u0131ktan yine farkl\u0131 \u015fekilde birinci parti \u00e7\u0131ksa da, bu se\u00e7imin oy kaybeden partisi AKP oldu.<\/p>\n

3 Kas\u0131m 2002’de y\u00fczde 34’\u00fcn \u00fczerinodeki oyla tek ba\u015f\u0131na iktidar olan AKP, 30 Mart 2004 yerel se\u00e7imlerinde \u0130l Genel meclisi baz\u0131nda y\u00fczde 42’ye yak\u0131n oy alarak, genel oy oran\u0131n\u0131 8 puan art\u0131rd\u0131. Ba\u015fka bir deyi\u015fle AKP’nin oy oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 24 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n

\"\"
\n22 Temmiz 2007 se\u00e7imlerinde ise sand\u0131ktan \u00e7\u0131kan her iki oydan neredeyse biri AKP’ye gitti. AKP, 2004’e g\u00f6re oyunu 5 puan daha art\u0131rarak y\u00fczde 47’ye dayand\u0131. 2002’ye g\u00f6re kaydetti\u011fi art\u0131\u015f 12 puan\u0131 a\u015ft\u0131. AKP’nin oy oran\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f 2002’ye g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 37, 2004 yerel se\u00e7imlerine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 11.3 oldu.\n<\/p>\n

D\u00fcn yap\u0131lan se\u00e7imde AKP’nin \u0130l Genel Meclisi baz\u0131ndaki oyu y\u00fczde 40’\u0131n alt\u0131na inmi\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bu durumda AKP, hem 2007’nin hem de 2004 yerel se\u00e7imlerindeki oyunun da alt\u0131na inmi\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. 2007’ye g\u00f6re oy kayb\u0131 7 puan veya y\u00fczde 15 gibi y\u00fcksek bir orana ula\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

AKP’yi y\u00fczde 38-40 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u00e7eken bu sonucu iki \u015fekilde yorumlamak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn:<\/p>\n

1- Ekonomik kriz, rekor i\u015fsizlik AKP oylar\u0131n\u0131 geriletti. Ba\u015fbakan’\u0131n sert \u00fcslubu, \u00fclkede gerilimin giderek artmas\u0131, se\u00e7menin bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn “Ergenekon davas\u0131n\u0131 AKP’nin siyasi oyunu” olarak yorumlamas\u0131 oy kayb\u0131n\u0131n nedenleri aras\u0131nda saymak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n

2- 22 Temmuz’daki “y\u00fczde 47 zaferi” AKP’nin ger\u00e7ek oy oran\u0131n\u0131 temsil etmiyordu. Genel se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesindeki Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imlerindeki tart\u0131\u015fmalar, askerin 27 Nisan’daki geceyar\u0131s\u0131 bildirisi, G\u00fcl’\u00fcn \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc kesmeye y\u00f6nelik 367 karar\u0131, AKP’yi “ma\u011fdur parti” konumuna soktu ve bu hava sand\u0131\u011fa yans\u0131d\u0131. 22 Temmuz \u00f6ncesinde Erdo\u011fan hemen hemen her mitingde k\u00fcrs\u00fcye “ma\u011fdur Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 aday\u0131” Abdullah G\u00fcl’le \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve “Ankara’daki oyunlar\u0131” halka \u015fikayet etti. “Demirel’i b\u00f6yle se\u00e7tiler, Sezer’i b\u00f6yle se\u00e7tiler, Abdullah G\u00fcl karde\u015fimize gelince kurallar\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirdiler” \u00fcslubu i\u015fe yarad\u0131 ve sand\u0131ktan AKP’ye y\u00fczde 47 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu se\u00e7imde k\u00f6p\u00fck gitti ve AKP y\u00fczde 38-40 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na geriledi.<\/p>\n

Asl\u0131nda bu iki analizin de se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131nda etkili oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n

Ba\u015fkanl\u0131k baz\u0131nda sonu\u00e7lar<\/strong><\/p>\n

Gazetemiz bask\u0131ya girdi\u011fi saatlerdeki sonu\u00e7lara g\u00f6re dikkat \u00e7eken noktalar \u015f\u00f6yle:<\/p>\n

* AKP, 2004’te 12 b\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehir, 46 il, 483 ill\u00e7ede belediye ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kazanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. D\u00fcn geceyar\u0131s\u0131 ise AKP 12 b\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehirde, 36 ilde ve 446 il\u00e7ede \u00f6nde gidiyordu. \u00d6nde gitti\u011fi yerlerin t\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc kazansa dahi, AKP t\u00fcm kategorilerde gerilemi\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Antalya va Adana’daki muhtemel yenilgiler, \u015eanl\u0131urfa’da “ceket koysak kazan\u0131r\u0131z” s\u00f6ylemine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k SP’nin destekledi\u011fi ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z aday Fak\u0131baba’n\u0131n galibiyeti AKP i\u00e7in a\u011f\u0131r sonu\u00e7lar. \u0130stanbul ve Ankara’da ba\u015faba\u015f giden yar\u0131\u015ftan herhangi birinin kayb\u0131 AKP i\u00e7in \u00e7ok daha a\u011f\u0131r bir sonu\u00e7 olacak.<\/p>\n

* AKP, Tekirda\u011f, Manisa, Zonguldak, Kars, Van, Sinop, Giresun, Osmaniye, Siirt gibi illerde de se\u00e7imi kaybetmi\u015fy gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Trabzon ise AKP’nin bu se\u00e7imdeki nadir kazan\u00e7lar\u0131ndan biri.<\/p>\n

* Se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesi adaylardan \u00e7ok da\u011f\u0131t\u0131lan bey\u00fcaz e\u015fya ve mobilyalarla g\u00fcndeme gelen Tunceli ve G\u00fcneydo\u011fu’da al\u0131nan yenilgiler AKP’nin G\u00fcneydo\u011fu politikas\u0131n\u0131n sand\u0131\u011fa yans\u0131mad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koydu.<\/p>\n

* Erdo\u011fan’\u0131n bu se\u00e7imi genel se\u00e7im havas\u0131na sokmas\u0131, se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesi yard\u0131m kampanyalar\u0131n\u0131n “\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131r\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131”, AKP’li belediyelerin t\u00fcm olanaklar\u0131yla se\u00e7ime y\u00fcklenmesi, devlet olanaklar\u0131n\u0131n sonuna kadar kullan\u0131lmas\u0131, planl\u0131 Davos \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131na ra\u011fmen AKP’nin erozyona u\u011framas\u0131, T\u00fcrk siyasetinde yeni bir d\u00f6nemin ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131 olarak yorumlanabilir.<\/p>\n

* Buna kar\u015f\u0131n, AKP’nin hemen hemen t\u00fcm illerde en k\u00f6t\u00fc ihtimalle ikincili\u011fe oynamas\u0131, G. Do\u011fu’daki baz\u0131 sembol iller d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, kaybetti\u011fi yerlerde bile y\u00fczde 30’lar seviyesinde oy almas\u0131 AKP’nin hala tek “T\u00fcrkiye partisi” oldu\u011funu ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n

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Kaynak : Vatan Gazetesi<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\n

2007 genel se\u00e7imlerinde y\u00fczde 47 oy alan AKP, d\u00fcnk\u00fc se\u00e7imde y\u00fczde 38’lere geriledi. AKP’nin kaybetti\u011fi yerlerde bile 30’larda olmas\u0131 ‘Tek T\u00fcrkiye partisi’ oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi<\/p>\n

Gazetemiz bask\u0131ya girerken se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 hen\u00fcz kesinle\u015fmemi\u015f, hatta CHP’nin \u00f6nde oldu\u011fu \u0130stanbul, Ankara ve Antalya’da “oy say\u0131m\u0131” konusunda b\u00fcy\u00fck tart\u0131\u015fmalar ya\u015fanmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Sonu\u00e7lar kesinle\u015fmese <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[105],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7048","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-gundem","odd"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7048","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7048"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7048\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7048"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7048"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7048"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}