![\"\"](\"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/i34_315050839.jpg\")
<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
“AKP, Diyarbak\u0131r’da b\u00fcy\u00fck bir miting i\u00e7in kollar\u0131 s\u0131vad\u0131”<\/p>\n
H\u00fcrriyet yazar\u0131 Murat Yetkin, anayasa de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi teklifine ili\u015fkin 16 Nisan’da yap\u0131lacak halk oylamas\u0131yla ilgili olarak kulis yazd\u0131. Yetkin, “AK Parti MHP ile ittifak nedeniyle araya mesafe koyan K\u00fcrt se\u00e7menin kalbini b\u00f6ylelikle yeniden kazanmak, MHP\u2019deki sorun nedeniyle alamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ‘evet’ deste\u011fini bu yolla telafi etmek istiyor” ifadesini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n
Murat Yetkin’in “MHP\u2019nin durumu AKP\u2019nin g\u00f6zlerini K\u00fcrt oylar\u0131na \u00e7evirdi” ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla yay\u0131mlanan (25 Mart 2017) yaz\u0131s\u0131 \u015f\u00f6yle:<\/p>\n
Anayasa kampanyas\u0131ndaki son geli\u015fmeler 16 Nisan\u2019da \u201cEvet\u201d i\u00e7in MHP\u2019den gelecek deste\u011fin tahminlerinden az olabilece\u011finden endi\u015fe eden AK Parti\u2019nin g\u00f6zlerini K\u00fcrt se\u00e7mene \u00e7evirdi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
Ba\u015fbakan Binali Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m \u201cEvet\u201d kampanyas\u0131 i\u00e7in MHP lideri Devlet Bah\u00e7eli\u2019den deste\u011fi ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131ralarda AK Parti o zamana dek al\u0131\u015f\u0131lmad\u0131k dozda bir T\u00fcrk milliyet\u00e7ili\u011fi s\u00f6ylemini benimsemi\u015fti.<\/p>\n
Yaln\u0131zca MHP\u2019nin \u00f6teden beri istedi\u011fi \u00f6l\u00fcm cezas\u0131n\u0131n geri getirilmesi vaadinin \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131yla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 de\u011fildi bu durum. \u00d6rne\u011fin e\u015f-ba\u015fkanlar Selahattin Demirta\u015f ve Figen Y\u00fcksekda\u011f d\u00e2hil \u00f6nemli say\u0131da HDP milletvekilinin art arda tutuklanmalar\u0131 da bu amaca hizmet edecek \u015fekilde de\u011ferlendiriliyordu. HDP\u2019nin PKK\u2019n\u0131n aleti oldu\u011fu, diyaloga yeniden ba\u015flaman\u0131n s\u00f6z konusu olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131, Suriye\u2019deki geli\u015fmelere kar\u015f\u0131n tek yolun kay\u0131ts\u0131z \u015farts\u0131z teslimiyet oldu\u011fu s\u00f6yleminin her f\u0131rsatta \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131larak tekrar\u0131 da \u00f6yle.<\/p>\n
AK Parti\u2019deki hesaplar \u015f\u00f6yle bir var say\u0131ma dayan\u0131yordu. 1 Kas\u0131m 2015 se\u00e7imlerinde AK Parti y\u00fczde 49,5, MHP y\u00fczde 10,8 oran\u0131nda oy alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. D\u00fcz toplamlar\u0131 y\u00fczde 60,3 yap\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n
MHP ile ittifak nedeniyle araya mesafe koyan K\u00fcrt oylar ve MHP\u2019deki muhalefet nedeniyle \u201cEvet\u201d demeyecek se\u00e7menler g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde tutuldu\u011funda dahi y\u00fczde 50\u2019nin rahat\u00e7a ge\u00e7ilece\u011fi hesap ediliyordu.<\/p>\n
Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Tayyip Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n 23 Mart ak\u015fam\u0131 CNN T\u00fcrk-Kanal D ortak yay\u0131n\u0131nda Hakan \u00c7elik\u2019i yan\u0131tlarken \u201cy\u00fczde 52\u2019nin \u00fczerinde\u201d oy bekledi\u011fini ancak bu sonucu asl\u0131nda \u201cy\u00fczde 60 ile ta\u00e7land\u0131rmak\u201d gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6ylemesi muhtemelen bu varsay\u0131mlar b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcne dayan\u0131yordu. Y\u00fczde 52 (tam olarak 51,8)\u00a0 ise malum, Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n 2014 Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imlerinde ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 destek oran\u0131yd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Ancak zaman ge\u00e7tik\u00e7e AK Parti\u2019de MHP\u2019deki sorunun san\u0131landan daha b\u00fcy\u00fck, \u00e7atla\u011f\u0131n tahmin edilenden daha derin oldu\u011fu yolunda izlenim a\u011f\u0131r basmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. MHP\u2019nin kamuoyunca tan\u0131nan isimleri, partiden at\u0131lmay\u0131 g\u00f6ze alarak (ve neticede at\u0131larak) \u201chay\u0131r\u201d kampanyas\u0131na destek veriyorlard\u0131. Bunu yazan gazeteciler, mesela Abd\u00fclkadir Selvi Bah\u00e7eli\u2019nin tepkisine neden oluyordu ama AK Parti\u2019den d\u0131\u015far\u0131ya yans\u0131yan izlenim bu \u015fekildeydi. D\u00fcn konu\u015ftu\u011fum AK Parti\u2019nin K\u00fcrt siyaset \u00fczerinde etkili kayna\u011f\u0131m, hen\u00fcz MHP\u2019deki \u201cEvet\u201d oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 35\u2019i a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren bir tek g\u00fcvenilir anket g\u00f6rmediklerini s\u00f6yledi \u00f6rne\u011fin.<\/p>\n
Bu durum, AK Parti hesaplar\u0131n\u0131 etkiliyordu do\u011fal olarak.<\/p>\n
\u00dcstelik tek etken bu da de\u011fildi.<\/p>\n
AK Parti-MHP kampanyas\u0131n\u0131n HDP\u2019yi ama daha \u00e7ok da PKK\u2019y\u0131 \u201cEvet de \u00e7\u0131ksa, hat\u0131r da \u00e7\u0131ksa K\u00fcrt davas\u0131na faydas\u0131 yok\u201d deyip se\u00e7imleri boykot etmeye itebilece\u011fi yolunda bir varsay\u0131m da vard\u0131. HDP oyunu \u201chay\u0131r\u201d olarak a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re, hay\u0131rc\u0131 cepheden sand\u0131\u011fa gitmeyen her oy, kendili\u011finden evet oran\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131na neden olacakt\u0131.<\/p>\n
HDP zaten s\u00f6ylem de\u011fi\u015ftirme yolunda i\u015faret vermedi. Ancak PKK\u2019dan ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz aydan itibaren birbirinden sert a\u00e7\u0131klamalar geldi; belki de Suriye kolu PYD\/YPG\u2019nin hem ABD, hem de Rusya\u2019dan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 destek bulmas\u0131na paraleldi bu a\u00e7\u0131klamalar. PKK\u2019n\u0131n Kandil\u2019deki ba\u015flar\u0131 b\u0131rak\u0131n boykot ilan\u0131n\u0131, boykottan s\u00f6z etmenin dahi T\u00fcrk devletine ajanl\u0131k say\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 gibi tehditk\u00e2r bir s\u00f6ylem geli\u015ftirdi; hay\u0131r verilmesinde \u0131srarl\u0131yd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Barometre d\u00f6nmeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u0130\u015fte bu noktada AK Parti\u2019de, bir s\u00fcredir ask\u0131ya al\u0131nan \u201cCHP de PKK gibi hay\u0131r diyor\u201d s\u00f6ylemi yeniden canland\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Ama as\u0131l d\u00f6n\u00fcm noktas\u0131 Irak K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesel Y\u00f6netimi (KBY) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Mesud Barzani\u2019nin 26 \u015eubat\u2019taki Ankara ziyareti oldu.<\/p>\n
Barzani AK Parti iktidar\u0131 i\u00e7in mevcut zaman diliminde yaln\u0131zca Irak ve Suriye\u2019de PKK ve I\u015e\u0130D\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131\u00a0ortak tav\u0131r alabilmek i\u00e7in \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131makla kalm\u0131yordu. Geleneksel, dindar ve a\u015firet ba\u011flar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc K\u00fcrt se\u00e7men \u00fczerinde bir etkisi de vard\u0131. Bu etki belki niceliksel, aritmetik de\u011feri olan bir etki de\u011fildi ama niteliksel, psikolojik y\u00f6n\u00fc, moral y\u00f6n\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir etkiydi.<\/p>\n
Referandum kampanyas\u0131ndan beri AK Parti h\u00fck\u00fcmetine muhalefeti \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karmayan MHP lideri Bah\u00e7eli, Barzani\u2019nin Ankara\u2019da Erdo\u011fan ve Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m ile g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinde KBY bayra\u011f\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6ndere \u00e7ekilmesine sert tepki verdi.<\/p>\n
Ba\u015fka ko\u015fullar alt\u0131nda Bah\u00e7eli\u2019nin, kendi taban\u0131ndaki e\u011filimi de dikkate alarak bu tepkisini bir s\u00fcre devam ettirmesi beklenebilirdi. Ama \u00f6yle olmad\u0131. Hatta AK Parti kademelerinde Bah\u00e7eli\u2019nin mesela \u201cK\u00fcrt k\u00f6kenli\u201d s\u00f6ylemi yerine \u201cK\u00fcrt\u201d dedi\u011fi dahi not edildi. Bah\u00e7eli\u2019nin bu tutumu AK Parti saflar\u0131nda \u201chay\u0131r \u00e7\u0131karsa MHP ve kendi liderli\u011finin ya\u015fayaca\u011f\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131\u201d dikkate alan \u201cmakul\u201d bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olarak memnuniyete neden oldu.<\/p>\n
B\u00f6ylelikle AK Parti\u2019de K\u00fcrt se\u00e7mene y\u00f6nelik ad\u0131mlar cesaret kazand\u0131.<\/p>\n
Ba\u015fbakan Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m, AK Parti \u0130stanbul \u0130l \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcn 21 Mart Nevruz g\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00fczenledi\u011fi kitlesel bir \u201cDo\u011fu ve G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Kanaat \u00d6nderleriyle Bulu\u015fma\u201d toplant\u0131s\u0131na kat\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
O arada AK partililer 23 Mart Batman mitingini \u00f6rg\u00fctlemekle me\u015fguld\u00fc. Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m Batman mitinginde \u201cevet\u201d oyunu K\u00fcrt\u00e7e istedi.\u00a0 istedi. Miting, ayn\u0131 gece CNN T\u00fcrk\u2019te konu\u015fan Erdo\u011fan\u2019dan \u00f6vg\u00fc ald\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u015eimdi AK Parti 1 Nisan\u2019da Diyarbak\u0131r\u2019da Erdo\u011fan ve Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m\u2019\u0131n birlikte kat\u0131laca\u011f\u0131, belki de g\u00f6vde g\u00f6sterisi niteli\u011finde b\u00fcy\u00fck bir miting i\u00e7in kollar\u0131 s\u0131vam\u0131\u015f bulunuyor.<\/p>\n
AK Parti MHP ile ittifak nedeniyle araya mesafe koyan K\u00fcrt se\u00e7menin kalbini b\u00f6ylelikle yeniden kazanmak, MHP\u2019deki sorun nedeniyle alamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u201cevet\u201d deste\u011fini bu yolla telafi etmek istiyor.<\/p>\n
Bunu ba\u015far\u0131p ba\u015faramayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmek i\u00e7in fazla beklememize gerek kalmayacak, sand\u0131\u011fa 22 g\u00fcn kald\u0131 bug\u00fcn itibar\u0131yla.<\/p>\n