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Petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n 117 dolar\u0131 ge\u00e7erek tarihi rekor seviyelere ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve ge\u00e7en y\u0131la kadar \u2018\u00e7\u0131lg\u0131nca’ diye nitelenen 200 dolar d\u00fczeyinin art\u0131k telaffuz edilir hale geldi\u011fi bu d\u00f6nemde, \u2018bilinen’ haliyle d\u00fcnyan\u0131n sonunun geldi\u011fi ve enerjinin bi\u00e7imlendirece\u011fi yeni bir devrin ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Hampshire College’da bar\u0131\u015f ve d\u00fcnya g\u00fcvenli\u011fi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 profes\u00f6r\u00fc olan Michael T. Klare, Metropolitan Books taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131mlanan \u2018Rising Powers, Shrinking Planet: The New Geopolitics of Energy’ adl\u0131 son kitab\u0131nda, k\u00fcresel petrol end\u00fcstrisinin durumu, petrol arz\u0131ndaki daralma ve artan talebe ili\u015fkin karamsar de\u011ferlendirmelerde bulundu. <\/p>\n
Yazar, y\u00fckselen maliyetler, artan talep ve s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 petrol arz\u0131 ile alternatif enerji kaynaklar\u0131 alan\u0131nda kayda de\u011fer geli\u015fme sa\u011flanamad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ederek, b\u00fct\u00fcn bu fakt\u00f6rlerin, arz ve talep ekonomileri \u00fczerinde temellenen yeni bir d\u00fcnya d\u00fczenine yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131 tahmininde bulundu. Yazara g\u00f6re yeni d\u00fcnya d\u00fczeninde g\u00fc\u00e7, petrol ve gaz zengini \u00fclkeler lehine de\u011fi\u015fecek.<\/p>\n
\u00c7\u0130N VE H\u0130ND\u0130STAN, TALEB\u0130 PATLATTI<\/p>\n
Halihaz\u0131rda rekor seviyelerden i\u015flem g\u00f6ren petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n, kaynaklardaki daralma ve da\u011f\u0131t\u0131mda yo\u011funla\u015fan rekabet nedeniyle daha da artmas\u0131n\u0131n kesin g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne dikkat \u00e7eken Klare, y\u0131llar \u00f6nce enerjinin bol oldu\u011funu ve konunun, siyasi bak\u0131mdan hararetli bir mesele olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmedi\u011fini kaydetti. Ancak yazara g\u00f6re Hindistan ve \u00c7in gibi \u2018\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc D\u00fcnya’ \u00fclkeleri, ekonomilerini sanayile\u015ftirmeye ba\u015flayarak k\u00fcresel enerji t\u00fcketiminde devasa bir art\u0131\u015fa yol a\u00e7t\u0131.<\/p>\n
“Yeteri kadar yak\u0131t \u00fcretebilsek, \u015fimdiki kadar \u00fcrk\u00fct\u00fcc\u00fc bir manzarayla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmazd\u0131k” diyen Klare, mevcut durumda tam aksi bir s\u00fcrecin cereyan etti\u011fini, k\u00fcresel enerji arz\u0131ndaki yava\u015flaman\u0131n, talebin \u00f6nemli oranda artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nemde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini belirtti. Bu durumun, geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerin artan enerji t\u00fcketimiyle birlikte yeni bir d\u00fcnya d\u00fczenine yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savunan Klare, bu de\u011fi\u015fimi de \u2018y\u00fckselen g\u00fc\u00e7ler\/b\u00fcz\u00fclen gezegen’ ifadesiyle \u00f6zetledi.<\/p>\n
REKABET \u015e\u0130DDETLENECEK<\/p>\n
Yeni d\u00fcnya d\u00fczeninin, daralan fosil yak\u0131t kaynaklar\u0131 i\u00e7in rekabetin \u015fiddetlenece\u011fi bir d\u00f6nem olaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcnde bulunan yazar, g\u00fcc\u00fcn de, ABD ve \u00c7in gibi enerji fakiri \u00fclkelerden Rusya ve Suudi Arabistan gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck rezervlere sahip \u00fclkelere kayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savundu.<\/p>\n
Klare bu de\u011fi\u015fimin ba\u015fl\u0131ca itici g\u00fc\u00e7lerini, enerji kaynaklar\u0131 i\u00e7in eski ve yeni ekonomiler aras\u0131nda yo\u011funla\u015fan rekabet, birincil enerji kaynaklar\u0131ndaki arz daralmas\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte enerji darbo\u011faz\u0131na yol a\u00e7arak s\u00fcrekli bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya neden olmas\u0131 ve alternatif kaynaklar \u00fcretilmesinde yeterli mesafe al\u0131nmamas\u0131 olarak s\u0131ralad\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD Enerji Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131’n\u0131n verilerine g\u00f6re d\u00fcnya enerjisindeki fosil yak\u0131t miktar\u0131, 2030 y\u0131l\u0131nda 2004\u2032tekiyle ayn\u0131 kalacak. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n yenilenebilir enerjideki art\u0131\u015f ise sadece y\u00fczde 8.1 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek. Di\u011fer yandan Enerji Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 25 y\u0131l zarf\u0131nda karbondioksit emisyonunun y\u00fczde 60 artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ediyor. Klare’e g\u00f6re bu tesbit, iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fini engellemeye y\u00f6nelik b\u00fct\u00fcn umutlar\u0131n asl\u0131nda t\u00fckendi\u011fi anlam\u0131na geldi\u011fini savundu.<\/p>\n
PETROL SAVA\u015eLARI<\/p>\n
Tarih boyunca iktidar\u0131n el de\u011fi\u015ftirmesinin \u00e7o\u011funlukla \u015fiddet e\u015fli\u011finde cereyan etti\u011fini hat\u0131rlatan yazar, ABD’nin Irak i\u015fgalinin g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi gibi, petrol ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131s\u0131 \u00fclkelerin, enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 kontrol etmek i\u00e7in askeri g\u00fc\u00e7 kullanabilece\u011fini, buna kar\u015f\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fc elde etmek isteyen \u00fclkelerin de \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 g\u00f6ze alabileceklerini kaydetti.<\/p>\n
ARZ KAYNAKLARINA S\u0130LAH SEVK\u0130YATI<\/p>\n
Klare, enerji sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen akt\u00f6rlerinin, arz kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcvence alt\u0131na almak i\u00e7in enerji ithal ettikleri \u00fclkelere silah sevkiyat\u0131 yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131na da dikkat \u00e7ekti. ABD, \u00c7in ve Rusya’n\u0131n, Angola, Nijerya, Sudan ve Hazar havzas\u0131ndaki Azerbaycan, Kazakistan ve K\u0131rg\u0131zistan gibi \u00fclkelere silah sevkiyat\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydeden Klare, bu b\u00f6lgelerdeki gerilimin kolayca silahl\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n
Zaman i\u00e7inde artmas\u0131 beklenen bu \u00e7abalar\u0131n, b\u00f6lgesel silahlanma yar\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 tetikleyece\u011fi, b\u00f6lgesel bir gerilimin de kolayca b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7lerin m\u00fcdahalesine imkan verece\u011fini belirten yazar, benzer nedenlerle meydana gelen ve bir anda kontrolden \u00e7\u0131kan sava\u015flar\u0131n tarihte bir\u00e7ok \u00f6rne\u011fi oldu\u011funu kaydetti.<\/p>\n
Klare’e g\u00f6re halihaz\u0131rda b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7lerin n\u00fcfuz \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na sahne olan Orta Asya ve Hazar b\u00f6lgesi, \u00e7ok \u00e7e\u015fitli etnik gruplar aras\u0131ndaki gerilimle birlikte, Birinci D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde Balkanlar\u0131n durumunu and\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
“G\u00fcc\u00fcn, kaynaklar\u0131 kontrol edenlerin elinde oldu\u011fu \u2018enerji merkezli’ bu yeni d\u00fcnya d\u00fczeninde hayat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 enerji bi\u00e7imlendirecek” diyen yazar, “Ara\u00e7lar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 ne zaman ve hangi ama\u00e7la kullanaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131, e\u011fer olacaksa, ne zaman ve nereye seyahat edece\u011fimizi, hangi g\u0131dalar\u0131 t\u00fcketece\u011fimizi, baz\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131z i\u00e7in nerede ya\u015fayaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131, di\u011ferleri i\u00e7in hangi i\u015fle me\u015fgul olaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131, hepimiz i\u00e7inse ne zaman ve hangi \u015fartlar alt\u0131nda sava\u015fa gidece\u011fimizi ya da d\u0131\u015f m\u00fcdahalelere kar\u015f\u0131 koyaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 bu d\u00fcnya belirleyecek” ifadesini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n
Kaynak : Star Gazetesi<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\n
Petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n 117 dolar\u0131 ge\u00e7erek tarihi rekor seviyelere ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve ge\u00e7en y\u0131la kadar \u2018\u00e7\u0131lg\u0131nca’ diye nitelenen 200 dolar d\u00fczeyinin art\u0131k telaffuz edilir hale geldi\u011fi bu d\u00f6nemde, \u2018bilinen’ haliyle d\u00fcnyan\u0131n sonunun geldi\u011fi ve enerjinin bi\u00e7imlendirece\u011fi yeni bir devrin ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Hampshire College’da bar\u0131\u015f ve d\u00fcnya g\u00fcvenli\u011fi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 profes\u00f6r\u00fc olan <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-632","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-dunya","odd"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/632","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=632"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/632\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=632"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=632"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=632"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}