{"id":15008,"date":"2009-09-23T16:31:36","date_gmt":"2009-09-23T13:31:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/?p=15008"},"modified":"2009-09-23T16:31:36","modified_gmt":"2009-09-23T13:31:36","slug":"hani-krizden-once-turkiye-cikacakti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/?p=15008","title":{"rendered":"Hani krizden \u00f6nce T\u00fcrkiye \u00e7\u0131kacakt\u0131?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Krizde toparlanma s\u00fcrecine giren 6 \u00fclke aras\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye yok<\/p>\n

ABD\u2019nin Pittsburgh kentinde d\u00fczenlenen zirveye kat\u0131lan 20 \u00fclkeden 6\u2019s\u0131, krizde toparlanma s\u00fcrecine girdi. 4\u2019\u00fc y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ge\u00e7en bu \u00fclkeler ABD, Japonya, \u00c7in, Almanya, Fransa ve \u0130ngiltere. Ba\u015fbakan Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n \u201cKrizden \u00f6nce biz \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131z\u201d dedi\u011fi T\u00fcrkiye ise son \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 7\u2019lik k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bug\u00fcn ba\u015flayacak G20 Zirvesi\u2019nde d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin kriz sonras\u0131 nas\u0131l dengeye oturtulaca\u011f\u0131, finans sekt\u00f6rlerine bonuslar\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 benzeri s\u0131k\u0131 kurallar getirilmesi ve yeni bir krizin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc alabilmek i\u00e7in erken uyar\u0131 sistemi geli\u015ftirilmesi masaya yat\u0131r\u0131lacak. <\/p>\n

G20 Zirvesi yine kriz g\u00fcndemiyle, bu kez bir reform aray\u0131\u015f\u0131yla toplan\u0131yor. Zirvede liderler k\u00fcresel ekonomideki dengesizliklerin giderilmesi ve finans sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde kurallar\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in gerekli reformlar\u0131 masaya yat\u0131racak. Kriz sonras\u0131 yeni d\u00fcnyay\u0131 in\u015fa etmek i\u00e7in toplanan 20 \u00fclke liderinden 6\u2019s\u0131, \u201ctoplanmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f\u201d \u00fclke liderleri olarak masada yer alacak. ABD, Japonya, \u00c7in, Almanya, Fransa ve \u0130ngiltere kriz sonras\u0131 d\u00fczelme belirtileri g\u00f6steren ekonomileri i\u00e7in bundan sonra ne yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini tart\u0131\u015facak. Son \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 7 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme a\u00e7\u0131klayan T\u00fcrkiye ise zirvede h\u00e2l\u00e2 krizden \u00e7\u0131kamam\u0131\u015f \u00fclkeler taraf\u0131nda yer alacak. Zirvede T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi \u201cKrizden \u00f6nce biz \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131z\u201d diyen Ba\u015fbakan Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan temsil edecek.<\/p>\n

Beklenenden h\u0131zl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131lar<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Fransa ikinci \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 1.4\u2019l\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Ekonomideki toparlanman\u0131n ard\u0131nda h\u00fck\u00fcmetin uygulamaya koydu\u011fu 37 milyar dolarl\u0131k kriz paketinin etkili oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor. Al\u0131nan \u00f6nlemler i\u015fe yaram\u0131\u015f olmal\u0131 ki \u00fclke 1 y\u0131l sonra yeniden b\u00fcy\u00fcme s\u00fcrecine girdi. Almanya da beklenenden \u00e7ok \u00f6nce y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 1.3\u2019l\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. \u00dclkenin bu y\u0131l\u0131n tamam\u0131nda resesyonda olmas\u0131 bekleniyordu ancak ikinci \u00e7eyrekte gelen bu b\u00fcy\u00fcme ekonomistleri bile \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtt\u0131. Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisi 4 \u00e7eyreklik k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmeden sonra \u00f6nemli bir \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015fa imza att\u0131. Alman H\u00fck\u00fcmeti, ekonomiye destek i\u00e7in 120 milyar dolarl\u0131k bir paket ve \u015firketlere 25.9 milyar dolarl\u0131k kredi paketi a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Asya\u2019da \u2019geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u2019 <\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

B\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6steren bir di\u011fer \u00fclke y\u00fczde 7.9\u2019la \u00c7in oldu. son 10 y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinden yeniden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015fa ge\u00e7en \u00fclke, \u015firketlerine 1.2 trilyon dolarl\u0131k kredi a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Japonya da y\u00fczde 2.3\u2019l\u00fck ikinci \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcmesiyle \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli bir \u2019geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u2019 yapt\u0131. 275 milyar dolarl\u0131k ekonomi paketinin bu \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015fta \u00e7ok etkili oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

ABD eknomisi ise 4 \u00e7eyrek \u00fcst \u00fcste daralma g\u00f6sterirken son \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 1 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesine ra\u011fmen istikrar sinyali verdi. ev sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda toparlanma, finans piyasalar\u0131nda istikrar ABD ekonomisine dair umutlar\u0131 artt\u0131rd\u0131. \u0130ngiltere de y\u00fczde 0.7\u2019lik ikinci \u00e7eyrek k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesine ra\u011fmen hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde son 2 y\u0131l\u0131n en h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini a\u00e7\u0131klayan \u00fclkede yetkililer resesyonun \u00e7ok k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede sona erece\u011fi belirtiyor.<\/p>\n

Dengeli bir k\u00fcresel ekonomi i\u00e7in reform \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 yap\u0131lacak <\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

G20 liderler zirvesinde, daha dengeli bir k\u00fcresel ekonomi i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck reform \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n yer almas\u0131 planlan\u0131yor. BBC\u2019nin ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 taslak bir belge, aralar\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 G20 \u00fclkeleri i\u00e7in ciddi bir politika de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Belgede k\u00fcresel ekonomide muazzam e\u015fitsizlikler oldu\u011fu ve bunun giderilmesi gerekti\u011fi s\u00f6yleniyor. E\u011fer bu denge sa\u011flanmazsa ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131n \u201ckabul edilemeyecek derecede c\u0131l\u0131z kalaca\u011f\u0131\u201d belirtiliyor. Belgede \u00fclke ad\u0131 verilmemekle birlikte BBC, bunun zengin fakat bol miktarda borca girmi\u015f \u0130ngiltere ve ABD gibi \u00fclkelerin daha fazla tasarrufa y\u00f6nelmesi, Almanya ve \u00c7in gibi y\u00fcksek tasarruflu \u00fclkelerin de harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na geldi\u011fini vurgulad\u0131. Taslak belgede ayr\u0131ca canland\u0131rma paketlerinin \u015fimdilik s\u00fcrmesi, fakat bu deste\u011fin yava\u015f yava\u015f \u00e7ekilmesi \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 yap\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Almanya: \u0130ngiltere finans reformuna kar\u015f\u0131 lobi yap\u0131yor <\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Almanya Maliye Bakan\u0131 bug\u00fcn ba\u015flayacak G20 zirvesinden \u00f6nce \u0130ngiltere\u2019yi s\u0131k\u0131 finans kurallar\u0131n\u0131 engellemekle su\u00e7lad\u0131. Steinbrueck, Almanya\u2019da yay\u0131mlanan haftal\u0131k Stern dergisine verdi\u011fi deme\u00e7te, \u201cLondra\u2019da, rekabet\u00e7i avantaj\u0131n\u0131 savunmak i\u00e7in di\u015fini t\u0131rna\u011f\u0131na takm\u0131\u015f bir lobi var\u201d dedi. \u0130ngiltere\u2019de finans sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn gayrisafi yurt i\u00e7i has\u0131lan\u0131n y\u00fczde 15\u2019ini, Almanya\u2019da ise sadece y\u00fczde 6\u2019s\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturdu\u011funu belirten Steinbrueck, \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin hedge fonlar\u0131 d\u00fczenleme konusunda \u201c\u00f6zellikle zorluklarla\u201d kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti.<\/p>\n

ABD\u2019de bask\u0131 yo\u011fun <\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

ABD\u2019nin Pittsburgh kentinde bug\u00fcn ve yar\u0131n yap\u0131lacak zirvede bankac\u0131lar\u0131n primleri konusunda yeni kurallar\u0131n uygulanmas\u0131nda anla\u015fabileceklerini umdu\u011funu belirten Steinbrueck, \u201cABD\u2019de de finans sekt\u00f6r\u00fc, \u2019d\u00fczenlemeyle ilgili \u015feyleri \u00e7ok ciddiye almay\u0131n\u2019 mesaj\u0131yla a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a Kongre\u2019ye \u00e7ok bask\u0131 yap\u0131yor\u201d diye konu\u015ftu. ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Barack Obama da ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta finans sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne s\u0131k\u0131 kurallar getirilmesine kar\u015f\u0131 Wall Street\u2019in lobisine boyun e\u011fmeyeceklerini a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Almanya ve Fransa, bankalar \u00fczerinde daha fazla k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar ve primlerde kesintiler yap\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131nda bulunurken, ABD ve \u0130ngiltere bu \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131lara direniyor.<\/p>\n

\u00c7in IMF\u2019de oy hakk\u0131 en y\u00fcksek \u00fclke olacak <\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Brezilya, Rusya, Hindistan ve \u00c7in (BRIC), IMF\u2019de y\u00fczde 7 ve D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131\u2019nda y\u00fczde 6 olan kotalar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fi\u015ftirilerek geli\u015fmi\u015f ve geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda oy hakk\u0131 da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n e\u015fit olmas\u0131n\u0131 istiyor. IMF Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Dominique Strauss Kahn, d\u00fcn yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada Avrupa \u00fclkelerinin, IMF\u2019de oy hakk\u0131nda reform konusunda harekete ge\u00e7me zaman\u0131n\u0131n geldi\u011fini anlamas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini ve \u00c7in\u2019in, uzun zamand\u0131r beklenen reform 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda tamamland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oy hakk\u0131 en fazla y\u00fckselen \u00fclke olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Lastik krizini y\u00fczy\u00fcze g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcler <\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00c7in Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Hu Cintao, d\u00fcn New York\u2019ta ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Barack Obama ile biraraya geldi. Hu Cintao g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmede ABD ile son g\u00fcnlerde ya\u015fanan ticari krizi de de\u011finerek ABD\u2019nin \u00c7in\u2019den ithal etti\u011fi araba lastiklerine kar\u015f\u0131 ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 koruyucu \u00f6nlemlerin iki \u00fclkenin \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131na uygun olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Benzer olaylar\u0131n tekrarlanmamas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini vurgulayan Hu, ayr\u0131ca \u015fu andaki kriz ortam\u0131nda \u00c7in ve ABD\u2019nin ticaret ve yat\u0131r\u0131m korumac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na kararl\u0131l\u0131kla kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 gerekti\u011finin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izdi. Barack Obama da ABD\u2019nin \u00c7in\u2019le etkin i\u015fbirli\u011fine dayal\u0131 ikili ili\u015fkiler kurmak i\u00e7in \u00e7aba harcad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydederek, \u00c7in\u2019e yapaca\u011f\u0131 ziyaretle k\u00fcresel, b\u00f6lgesel ve ikili alanlarda kurulacak ikili ili\u015fkilerin, daha iyi yerlere gelmesini bekledi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

AB yeni bir krizi \u00f6nlemek i\u00e7in \u2018Risk Kurulu\u2019 olu\u015fturacak <\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Avrupa Birli\u011fi yeni bir kriz riskini \u00f6nlemek i\u00e7in \u00fcye \u00fclke merkez bankalar\u0131 ba\u015fkanlar\u0131ndan olu\u015fan bir \u2019Sistemik Risk Kurulu\u2019 kuracak. Bu kurul, ekonomik sistemi tehdit eden bir geli\u015fmeyi farketti\u011finde \u2019sirenleri \u00e7alacak\u2019. Ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan risklere kar\u015f\u0131 ne yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini ortaya koyacak. \u00d6rne\u011fin bir \u00fclkeye \u201c\u015e\u00f6yle bir tehdit var, \u015fu ad\u0131mlar\u0131 atmal\u0131s\u0131n\u0131z\u201d diyebilecek.<\/p>\n

Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 b\u00fcnyesinde kurulacak kurulun \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc de bu kurumdan atanacak. Kurulun Ba\u015f\u0131nda Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jean-Claude Trichet\u2019nin, yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 olarak ise \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n atanmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

Bankalar izlenecek <\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Kurul b\u00fcnyesinde olu\u015fturulacak 3 yeni grup ise bankalar\u0131, sigortac\u0131lar\u0131 ve d\u00f6viz i\u015flemlerini denetleyecek. \u00dcye \u00fclkelerde bu alanlarda risk yaratabilecek bir geli\u015fme oldu\u011funda an\u0131nda uyar\u0131da bulunabilecek. Ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan riskleri kurula rapor edecek. Kurul sayesinde \u00fclkeler aras\u0131ndaki koordinasyon geli\u015fecek ve erken uyar\u0131 sistemi sayesinde yeni bir krizin ya\u015fanmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7ilecek. Kurulla ilgili yasal prosed\u00fcr\u00fcn k\u0131sa s\u00fcre i\u00e7inde tamamlanmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

En b\u00fcy\u00fck bankan\u0131n CEO\u2019su ge\u00e7en y\u0131l 234 bin $ kazand\u0131 <\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Z\u0130RVEDE, bankac\u0131lara yap\u0131lan \u00f6demeler ve primler konusunun ele al\u0131nmas\u0131 beklenirken, yap\u0131lan bir ara\u015ft\u0131rma ABD\u2019de bankalar\u0131n CEO\u2019lar\u0131na yap\u0131lan \u00f6demelerin, di\u011fer \u00fclkelerdeki bankalar\u0131n y\u00f6neticilerine yap\u0131lan \u00f6demelerden kat kat fazla oldu\u011funu ortaya koydu. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck bankas\u0131 \u00c7inli ICBC\u2019nin Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jiang Jianqing, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l sadece 234 bin 700 dolar kazand\u0131. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n 4\u2019\u00fcnc\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fck bankas\u0131 ABD\u2019li JPMorgan Chase\u2019in \u00dcst Y\u00f6neticisi Jamie Dimon ise 2008\u2019deki geliri ise 19,6 milyon dolar oldu. B\u00f6ylece d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck bankas\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6neticisini geliri, 4\u2019\u00fcnc\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fck bankan\u0131n CEO\u2019sunun gelirinin y\u00fczde 2\u2019sinden az oldu.<\/p>\n

Kaynak : Vatan<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\n

Krizde toparlanma s\u00fcrecine giren 6 \u00fclke aras\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye yok<\/p>\n

ABD\u2019nin Pittsburgh kentinde d\u00fczenlenen zirveye kat\u0131lan 20 \u00fclkeden 6\u2019s\u0131, krizde toparlanma s\u00fcrecine girdi. 4\u2019\u00fc y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ge\u00e7en bu \u00fclkeler ABD, Japonya, \u00c7in, Almanya, Fransa ve \u0130ngiltere. Ba\u015fbakan Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n \u201cKrizden \u00f6nce biz \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131z\u201d dedi\u011fi T\u00fcrkiye ise son \u00e7eyrekte <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15008","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ekonomi","odd"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15008","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15008"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15008\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15008"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15008"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.korhanyilmaz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15008"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}